Punjab exit poll
– Photo : Amar Ujala
Expansion
On the first of June, the seventh phase of voting has begun amidst some relief from the scorching heat. As soon as the voting is over, exit polls of all the agencies will be shown simultaneously on ‘Amar Ujala’. We will also bring out the exit polls of 40 Lok Sabha seats of Bihar. In such a situation, it is very interesting to know in which exit poll the Mahagathbandhan got the maximum 10 seats in 2019 out of the 40 Lok Sabha seats of Bihar and who predicted the least, i.e. around the result. Like last time, this time also the reputation of Rashtriya Janata Dal President Lalu Prasad Yadav, Janata Dal United President and CM Nitish Kumar is at stake in the seventh phase of voting. On Saturday, as soon as the fate of 134 candidates including a Union Minister, three former Union Ministers, a Rajya Sabha MP and a Bhojpuri artist will be locked in the electronic voting machine, the exit polls will start coming.
Last time, an average of seven seats were given to the grand alliance
In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the National Democratic Alliance won 39 out of 40 Lok Sabha seats in Bihar. According to that, the most accurate exit poll in 2019 was India Today-Axis, which gave 38 to 40 seats to BJP+ and zero to two seats to the Grand Alliance. The maximum 10 seats given to the Grand Alliance were given in the Times Now-VMR exit poll. In its survey, BJP+ was given 30 seats. In the rest of the exit polls, CNN IBN-Ipsos, ABP-AC Nielsen, Republic TV- C Voter, News24- Chanakya, India TV- CNX etc. had given 32 to 34 seats to BJP+ in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, while giving six to eight seats to the Grand Alliance+.
This time the equation has changed, the question is- how will the exit poll be?
There was a different equation in Bihar in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections and this time it is different. Last time Jitan Ram Manjhi’s party Hindustani Awam Morcha- Secular was with the Grand Alliance. Upendra Kushwaha was also with the Grand Alliance then. This time both are with the National Democratic Alliance. Both have got one seat each in the NDA and only its leaders are in the fray. The head of Vikasheel Insaan Party has contested from the Grand Alliance this time too on the same number of seats as last time. Last time BJP-JDU had kept 17-17 seats in the NDA and six seats were given to the late Ram Vilas Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party. BJP had won all its 17 seats and LJP had won all its seven seats. JDU had lost one seat, which went to the Congress.
